Working with
Probability - Set 1
Empirical & Theoretical
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Quickly review these statements
before beginning this practice set.
 

Empirical probability can be thought of as the most accurate scientific "guess" based on the results of experiments to collect data about an event.

Theoretical probability is the ratio of the number of ways the event can occur to the total number of possibilities in the sample space.

 
Answer the following question dealing with empirical vs theoretical probability:

1.

 

 Geologists say that the probability of a major earthquake occurring the San Francisco Bay area in the next 30 years is about 90%.  Is this empirical probability or theoretical probability?

Choose:

empirical
theoretical

 

 

2.
Result Frequency
1 3
2 6
3 4
4 6
5 4
6 7

A fair die is tossed.  The results appear in the table at the left.

a)  Based on this data, what is the empirical probability of tossing a 4?
 

Choose:
Part a:

4/15
1/6
1/5
1/30

 
b)  What is the theoretical probability of tossing a 4?

Choose:
Part b:

4/15
1/6
1/5
1/30

 

 

Each problem below is described for a fair, unbiased object. 
These questions are to be answered without conducting an experiment.
Use your knowledge of the theoretical probability in each case.

1.

A six-sided die is rolled.  The sides show dots that range from 1 dot to 6 dots.  What is the probability that when rolled, the side with 3 dots will appear on the top of the die?

Choose:

1/2
1/3
1/4
1/6

 

 

2.

 

A standard deck of cards contains 52 cards.  There are 4 suits:  hearts, diamonds, clubs and spades.  Each suit contains 13 cards.  You are asked to select a card from the deck without looking.  What is the probability of drawing a ten?

Choose:

13/52
10/52
4/52
1/52

 

 

3.

A bottle contains 8 marbles:  3 are red and 5 are blue.  You are to take a marble from the bottle without looking.  What is the probability that you will pick a red marble?

Choose:

1/3
3/8
5/8
3/5

 

 

4.

 Our alphabet contains 26 letters.  Five of these letters are vowels (A, E, I, O, U).  The remaining 21 letters are called consonants.  Each letter of the alphabet is written on a card and you are asked to choose a card.  What is the probability of choosing a consonant? 

Choose:

1/52
5/26
21/26
5/21

 

 

5.

A six-sided die is rolled.  What is the probability of rolling a 6?

 

Choose:

1/2
1/3
1/4
1/6